March 2008

Why Anwar Matters

by Firas Ahmad

Less than 10 years ago former Malaysian Deputy Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim was languishing in prison, suffering from arsenic poisoning surreptitiously introduced into his drinking water. Mr. Anwar was sacked after challenging the rule of then Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamed. Jailed on what he claimed to be politically motivated charges of sodomy and corruption, not only was Mr. Anwar’s political career apparently over, but his life was in danger. Only after his family secretly smuggled blood samples out of the country to confirm the poisoning were steps taken to ensure his health.

Fast forward to March 8, 2008. Even though he remains unable to stand for election until April of 2008 due to his previous incarceration, the Anwar-led opposition coalition dealt a stunning blow to the ruling Barisan National (BN) Party, breaking its decades-old super majority control of parliament. To call it a “comeback” would be an understatement. While the BN continues to hold a simple majority, a tectonic shift has taken place in Malaysian politics, and it was in many ways engineered by Mr. Anwar.

The last time the ruling BN party failed to secure a super majority in parliament was 1969. Following the elections, Chinese celebrations sparked race riots that resulted in the deaths of hundreds of individuals. This national trauma catalyzed the establishment of a controversial race-based system of governance rooted in a New Economic Policy (NEP) that gave preferential treatment to the majority Malay Muslim community. A tenuous arrangement with minority Chinese and Indian groups held the country together since that time, mostly under the rule of Mahathir Mohamed whose aggressive economic growth strategies propelled Malaysia into the third largest economy in Southeast Asia. 

Overtime, however, political progress failed to keep pace with economic development. While the largest building in the world was constructed in Kuala Lumpur, political power continued to rest almost entirely along sectarian racial and religious lines. The BN remained unchallenged by a weak opposition incapable of organizing against the status quo. Corruption, mismanagement and concentration of wealth set in. The ruling party had almost complete control over the media, public gatherings, special security laws and other government apparatus.

A number of factors contributed to rising discontent amongst Malaysians across racial divides, including rising crime, a slowing economy, a number of very public corruption scandals and increased oil prices. In addition, increasing discontent emanated from the minority Chinese and Indian communities over the pro-Malay NEP. The BN, now led by Mahathir’s hand-picked successor Abdullah Badawi, recognized its support amongst Chinese and Indians would weaken, but expected that Malay support would remain strong so as to ensure pro-Malay policies.

This was a serious miscalculation. Not only did Chinese and Indians voters flock to the polls in support of the opposition, a number of Malays followed suit. There was a growing realization amongst average Malays that benefits from the NEP seldom found their way to working class segments of the community. Foreign investment continued to decline. Malaysia used to be America’s tenth largest trading partner. It is now number sixteen. While the economy continued to grow, fewer people were benefitting from the gains.

Therein lies Mr. Anwar’s most significant contribution to Malaysia’s political earthquake. He coalesced a fractured opposition movement around the elimination of race-based politics – and did so in such a manner that supporters of the ruling BN party felt no compulsion to turn to violence, as a number of them actually agreed with Mr. Anwar. The achievement was made nonetheless remarkable by the fact that he campaigned through a complete media black-out and relentless attacks on his character through state-controlled media, but continued to draw significant crowds in the tens of thousands across the country including in areas dominated by the ruling party. The opposition’s innovative use of Youtube and text-messaging no doubt played a role in this as well.

Mr. Anwar was able to broker a cooperative arrangement amongst three major opposition parties – the left leaning mostly Chinese DAP, the Malay Islamist PAS party and his own PKR multi-racial Justice Party - to challenge the BN one-to-one in each contest. The opposition was able to achieve what most said was impossible given the entrenched power of the ruling BN party; undercut BN support amongst Malays by appealing to their sense of justice and fairness.

Malaysia’s race-based system was likely to give way sooner or later, however Mr. Anwar paved a path for peaceful transition by bringing his credibility as a Malay politician to the table while simultaneously assuring Chinese and Indians that their rights would be respected. He talked Malays into letting go of the fear that incited communal riots in 1969. It is no small feat to peacefully transition out of entrenched systems of entitlement. One need only review Iraq’s unfortunate history since 2003 for an example of how such a process can be terribly mismanaged.

While the opposition victory is certainly critical for charting a more egalitarian future for Malaysia, it also bodes well for the development of Muslim democracy. The opposition coalition’s orientation brought moderate elements from the Islamist PAS party forward. PAS even fielded a non-Muslim candidate, an unprecedented move in its history. Meanwhile, Badawi sought to leverage racial divide by appealing to Malays through increasingly Islamist rhetoric. His efforts were resoundingly rebuked. The election results demonstrate that the majority Muslim country is interested in exploring a system politics that does not discriminate based on race or religion.

A weakened BN party cannot be entirely attributed to Anwar Ibrahim’s improbable political resurrection. However, he undoubtedly played a critical role in organizing the opposition and reasoning the Malay population through this transition. Political possibilities that were unthinkable last week in Malaysia are all of a suddenly on the table. Mr. Anwar refers to this reality as a new dawn for the country. If he is successful in accomplishing his stated goals, most fair-minded observers would have to agree.

Mr. Ahmad is an essayist based in Cambridge, Mass. His commentary and analysis has appeared in the Economist, the Washington Post and other publications on issues related to national and international politics.

comments (12)
zulkefli nordin @ 2008-04-16 13:27:02
a good work of fiction by firas ahmad.
kanna @ 2008-04-13 11:18:54
Dato Anwar Ibrahim
simon @ 2008-04-08 12:27:02
Ni matter how much Anwar is "talked up" by the media, especially the US owned media, he cannot become Prime Minister. Only when he was out of government he complained. When he was at the central point as Finance MInister he was strangely quiet. I have no bad feelings against the man. I am not Malaysian. But I think Anwar;s time came and went long ago. I would not call him a day dreamer as some have called. But he will be passed over in favour of younger leaders. Why do you need a leader from the 1980s and 1990s. malaysia has moved on far. They deserve new leaders.
Ibrahim musa k @ 2008-04-05 14:07:04
Giving undue credit to a politician of controversial past is quite unnecessary, let alone superfluous. Does Anwar matter? No, he does not, it is the ICT that changes the political wind in favor of the Opposition. The massive and immediate information transferring via Internet and SMS had transformed the whole scenario of political agenda in Malaysia overnight, for the ills and shortcomings of the government that had long been suppressed by the mass media finally surfaced and made public, catching the ruling party completely off guard. The alliance of the three main parties in the Opposition is but another temporary marriage of convenience. And when the radicals in the Islamic party PAS begin to pursue its own religious interest after consolidating their power (especially in the states where they lead), the non-Malay Democratic Action party (and to a lesser extent the mixed ethnical People Justice Party) will certainly take issue and challenge the validity. Disintegration will thus begin. Already there are hidden signs of ominous power tussle among the partners. After all, politicians are always politicians, their only goal is to grab as much power as they could within the shortest possible time.
Singapore @ 2008-04-05 11:02:09
We're looking forward to do the same in Singapore.
Narayan @ 2008-04-03 09:47:34
To be fair - i think the author has got good grasp of the overall situation when he says - The opposition did get votes due to BN mismanagement and Anwar Factor which acted as glue in getting togather PKR-DAP-PAS on common ideals . this delivered 5 states and 82 seated opposition to the new NEXUS group. Come May 2008, there may be more jummping ship. BN parties are all undergoing challenges to its leadership as they all know internally the bulk of popular vote was "Anybody but Barisan" going foward Anwar and Opposition will have to deliver. Having lived in malaysia all my life till end of 2006, i ask myself "can they really do that badly" by insituting open tender, non racialised politics, etc. Seriously to the common man minus top 10 percent of malaysia i do not think so - it takes a lot of corrupition, convulation and self denial to think UMNO and BN are the saviors of malaysia. My 4 year old would do better: she would built more parks and playground and that is nothing compared to these BN Demons
anonymous @ 2008-03-31 12:42:36
This article is based on your knowledge which is very limited. There are real reason why he has been sacked for he was a threat to the country, to yours and mine 'periuk nasi'. Do you even know who he is outside malaysia? You've been reading too many biased article without initiative to investigate the whole matters. Of coz the reason why have been cover up becoz to have it announce to the public will be a threat to the country itself. There are no such thing as holly and 'bersih' politician, but don't make a mistake by choosing someone who is pretending to be holy or a good person but have another agenda to jeorpardise the country.
an war @ 2008-03-25 16:49:39
disappointing analysis. firas ahmad is just summarising what is reported in the newspapers. no inside information. probably because he is an armchair essayist.
Saman Rombey @ 2008-03-23 09:10:00
srkhartoum; Yes, of course. Bro. Anwar is a true politician. Able to coordinate the three major opposition parties into major forces against the most corrupt BN. If no "PENGUNDI HANTU" or "UNDI POST" I'm sure BN will lost more seat especially in Trengganu and Sabah. Cheers Bro. Anwar, we are behind you. You have more grass roots supporter now. We will support you until BN collapse.
mohdrozali @ 2008-03-23 06:17:48
PAS DID not field a non-Muslim candidate in the last election. It fielded a non-Malay candidate Dato Annuar Tan Abdullah in the Kelantan state seat of Kota Lama. It won the seat by a significant increase of majority from 34 in 2004 to more than 5200 in 2008
mohdrozali @ 2008-03-23 05:51:32
PAS did not field a non-Muslim candidate for the election but Mr Faizal Tan Abdullah, a non-Malay candidate was fielded.
Thomas Choong @ 2008-03-21 10:58:36
Malaysian political system is indeed a very complex system for a small nation of 23 millions population. It was divided along the racial line among the Malay, Chinese and Indian predominantly in West Malaysia and to a large extend territory based of East Malaysian political parties. The 8th of March 2008 election is indeed a possible turning point of the outdated Malaysian political system that based on racial line. The political Tsunami of 8 March 2008 was to a large extent due to Malaysians' growing resentment on the lack of progress in the anti corruption drive pledged by the BN in previous 2004 election, worse still the appearance of growing fight for self interest within the BN components at the expense of tackling the real problem facing by the nation like crime rates increase, falling foreign investments, real inflation that affect the common working class. Therefore it is fair to say that the result of the election was to a large extent a protest on the BN's mismanagement. This is different from giving staunch support to current opposition. Of course the opposition having sitting on this opportunity can indeed to deliver the desired result to turn this protest votes into support votes in the future election and may be succeed in forming the future Malaysian government. Having say this, it is become important to understand opposition's own weaknesses where possible address them and be ready to be a more widely acceptable political front. DAP being predominantly a Chinese based political and PAS an Islamic party are in themselves to a large extend racial based parties. These two parties are having opposing political concepts where the former is opposing to the later's forming of an Islamic state. The current coalition is primarily formed based on the articulation of Mr Anwar. This is a rather weak foundation for the continue cooperation of the two parties. Concerted effort must be put in to pull the two into a commonly agreed political platform for a lasting partnership to maintain. This is important because the nation cannot afford to waste anymore resources for internal squbbling, rather energy should be directed on issues of real national interests. It is also fair to say that the opposition as a whole besides Mr Anwar lack experience in government administration. A beefing up in this area is a top priority focus for all 3 in order to deliver their election promise for better governance and fair distribution of wealth to the common working class without creating fear to the investing comunity. What average Malaysian wants is a fair, efficient government for the common citizens. I would say Malaysians arel not turning into what is in Taiwan yet with supporters of two poles. It is therefore important for both BN and opposition to compete to be a better government for the people in the coming election.
 
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